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California Posts 9,400-Job Gain in August

Employment: Economists impressed with rise amid UPS strike that knocked 25,000 off payrolls. O.C. continues strong expansion.

September 20, 1997|PATRICE APODACA, TIMES STAFF WRITER

Despite the United Parcel Service strike, which knocked 25,000 workers off statewide payrolls last month, California's overall employment market proved surprisingly resilient in August.

The number of jobs reached 13.2 million, well over a million above the low point of the recession in 1993, the state reported Friday. While the 9,400 new jobs added last month were well below monthly increases earlier in the year, economists were still impressed with the gain.


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"That's actually a pretty good performance," said Stephen Levy, director of the Center for the Continuing Study of the California Economy in Palo Alto.

The state's ability to register a net gain in new jobs in the face of the UPS walkout "confirms the underlying strength of the economy," he said.

California's seasonally adjusted unemployment rate remained unchanged in August from July's revised 6.2%, according to the report by the state Employment Development Department. A year earlier, the jobless rate was 7.1%.

Though the state's unemployment rate was still higher than the 4.9% rate for the nation in August, California has been adding jobs at a faster pace than the rest of the country and is quickly closing the gap.

Tom Leiser, an economist at the UCLA Business Forecasting Project, said the new figures are a very positive indicator of California's employment outlook for the remainder of the year--particularly since the UPS strike was settled last month.

In Orange County, one of the state's healthiest labor markets, the unemployment rate narrowed to 3.4% last month from 3.7% in July.

Unlike the state and Los Angeles County figures, Orange County's jobless rate is not adjusted for seasonal variations. That makes the county's slim unemployment rate in August even more impressive, economists said, because it includes teachers who were on summer break.

"You get down below 4% unemployment and there's not much more you can say," said Ted Gibson, chief economist at the state Department of Finance. "It's over full employment."

Esmael Adibi, director of Chapman University's Anderson Center for Economic Research, said that Orange County's unemployment rate will probably hover in the 3.2% to 3.6% range for the remainder of the year.

The county is enjoying a broad expansion with the job base growing at a brisk 3% annual clip.

But Adibi said the best news is larger-than-average employment gains in the manufacturing and construction sectors.

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