The report is based on projections of total U.S. box-office gross from a consensus of industry sources and studio financial models. The U.S. returns represent only 20% of a film's final revenue, which includes income from video, TV and overseas theatrical release. The industry marketing average of $30 million per film is factored into these profit equations, as is the relative strength of specific film genres in foreign markets. Results for the weekend of Sept. 3-6:
Miramax should break even on "Outside Providence" because it's exposed only for $4 million of the budget. The Morgan Creek production "The Chill Factor" is not expected to recoup its costs.
Projected Box- Estimated U.S. box-office office cost, in receipts, Movie title Studio rank millions in millions Runaway Bride Paramount 2 $70 $150 The Blair Witch Project Artisan 8 1 140 The Sixth Sense Buena Vista 1 40 250
Projected Box- Estimated U.S. box-office office cost, in receipts, Movie title Studio rank millions in millions The Thomas Crown Affair MGM 5 $48 $65 In Too Deep Miramax 12 7 14 Bowfinger Universal 4 55 65