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Company Town Film Profit Report

August 08, 2000|RICHARD NATALE

This report is based on projections of total U.S. box-office gross from a consensus of industry sources and studio financial models. The U.S. returns represent only 20% of a film's final revenue, which includes income from video, TV and overseas theatrical release. Typical industry marketing costs are factored into this profit analysis. Results for the weekend of Aug. 4-6:

Highlights:

n A sharp decline in its second weekend probably means "The Nutty Professor II: The Klumps" will be only a moderately profitable movie, not a blockbuster like its predecessor.

n Though the overall profit picture won't be clear until second-weekend grosses are tallied with overseas revenues that are likely to be stronger than domestic returns, "Hollow Man" should break even for Sony. "Space Cowboys" should do slightly better, and "Coyote Ugly" looks to be profitable.

$$Mega-Moneymakers ($50 million or more in profit)

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Projected Box- Estimated U.S. box-office office cost, in receipts, Movie title Studio rank millions in millions Scary Movie Dimension 7 $19 $150 X-Men Fox 6 75 150

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$Moneymakers ($10 million or more in profit)

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Box- Estimated office cost, in Movie title Studio rank millions The Perfect Storm Warner Bros. 8 $120 The Nutty Professor II Universal 2 84 What Lies Beneath DreamWorks/Fox 5 100 Coyote Ugly Buena Vista 4 45 Pokemon 2000 Warner Bros. 11 5

Projected U.S. box-office receipts, Movie title in millions The Perfect Storm $180 The Nutty Professor II 130 What Lies Beneath 130 Coyote Ugly 60 Pokemon 2000 45

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?Tossups ($5 million in profit or loss)

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Projected Box- Estimated U.S. box-office office cost, in receipts, Movie title Studio rank millions in millions The Patriot Sony 10 $110 $115 Hollow Man Sony 1 95 85 Space Cowboys Warner Bros. 3 65 70 Disney's The Kid Buena Vista 9 65 65 Thomas and the Magic... Destination 12 19 17

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Notes: Cost estimates are for production only. Only half of box-office receipts come back to the studio.

If you have information or comments about the chart, call (213) 237-2001 or send e-mail to company.town@latimes.com. Send faxes to (213) 237-7837.

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