This report is based on projections of total U.S. box-office gross from a consensus of industry sources and studio financial models. The U.S. returns represent only 20% of a film's final revenue, which includes income from video, TV and overseas theatrical release. Typical industry marketing costs are factored into this profit analysis, as are the relative strengths of specific film genres in foreign markets. Results for the weekend of May 12-14:
* "Battlefield Earth" is a bust in the U.S., but the independently financed movie has covered most of its budget with overseas sales. Warner Bros. is taking a reduced distribution fee while the producers are on the hook for marketing costs, which they are unlikely to recoup.
* "Center Stage" may break even on its modest budget, while "Screwed" and "Held Up" will fall only modestly short of profits.
$Moneymakers ($10 million or more in profit)
Projected Box- Estimated U.S. box-office office cost, in receipts, Movie title Studio rank millions in millions Gladiator DreamWorks/Univ. 1 $110 $140 Rules of Engagement Paramount 12 50 60 Where the Heart Is Fox 7 15 30 Love and Basketball New Line 9 11 28