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'Better Safe Than Sorry' Carries a High Price Tag

Overcautiousness kills in the name of protecting.

June 21, 2002|HENRY I. MILLER | Henry I. Miller, a physician, is a fellow at the Hoover Institution. He was an official at the U.S. Food and Drug Administration from 1979 to 1994.

It used to be said that the most fearsome statement in the world is, "I'm from the government and I'm here to help you." Now, government officials have the "precautionary principle," which supposedly will make our lives safer. In fact, the principle--which is not one at all but a seemingly plausible excuse for opposing innovation--has already laid waste to several industries and boasts a body count in the millions.

The Environmental Protection Agency has just provided another egregious example: a crackdown on the most reliable kind of blood pressure cuffs--which I and other doctors consider to be the standard for accuracy--in order to cut down on the use of mercury, which can pollute the air and water if disposed of carelessly.

The basic idea of the precautionary principle, which the EPA and other regulatory agencies often employ senselessly, is that even if there is no scientific evidence of actual dangers of a product, technology or activity, merely conjectural concerns should be a reason to limit or prohibit it.

For example, although used for decades, I have never heard of a mercury spill from a broken blood pressure cuff. In any event mercury toxicity under these conditions would be modest. The EPA's action is ill-considered, myopic and dangerous: Inaccurate blood pressure measurements can lead to under- or over-medication of a person with a life-threatening disease.

The precautionary principle is sometimes represented as being like Mom's admonition, "Better safe than sorry," or to reflect regulators' remonstrations that they're just "erring on the side of safety." But the way the precautionary principle is typically applied can actually increase risk.

The concept focuses on the possibility that technologies could pose unique or unmanageable risks, even after considerable testing has already been conducted.

Missing from precautionary calculus is an acknowledgment that even when technologies introduce risks, most confer net benefits--that is, their use reduces many other, more serious hazards.

The danger in the precautionary principle is that it distracts from known threats to health. For example, in 18th century Europe, excessive precautionary bias delayed for decades the introduction of the first smallpox vaccine, with millions dying unnecessarily.

And 30 years ago, on the basis only of suspicion of toxicity to fish and migrating birds (but no evidence of harm to humans), the EPA drastically restricted production and use of DDT, an inexpensive and stunningly effective pesticide once widely used to kill mosquitoes and other disease-carrying insects. With the ensuing reduction of global DDT use, the World Health Organization estimates that 300 million to 500 million cases of malaria occur annually and more than 1 million people die.

Another horrendous example of the precautionary principle in action occurred in the late 1980s, when environmental activists, claiming that carcinogenic byproducts from the chlorination of drinking water posed a potential cancer risk, persuaded Peruvian officials to stop chlorinating much of their country's drinking water. That decision contributed to the acceleration and spread of Latin America's 1991-96 cholera epidemic, which afflicted more than 1.3 million people.

Anti-chlorine campaigners recently have turned their attacks to certain plastics used for important medical devices, particularly fluid containers, blood bags, tubing and gloves; children's toys such as teething rings; and household and industrial items including flooring. Invoking the precautionary principle, activists claim that these plastics might have numerous adverse health effects--even in the face of significant scientific evidence to the contrary.

Whole industries have been terrorized, consumers denied product choices, and doctors and their patients deprived of lifesaving tools. The precautionary principle inflates the cost of research, inhibits new product development, wastes resources, restricts consumer choice, creates serious new risks and costs lives.

Just thinking about it raises my blood pressure.

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