MEXICO CITY — For decades, Mexico's ruling party was largely sustained by two notoriously corrupt pillars of the oil economy: the state-owned petroleum monopoly Pemex and the Oil Workers Union.
Petrodollars flowed smoothly to the state and the party, thanks to union leaders who used threats and violence to curb labor dissent. In return, they were allowed to assign drilling contracts, often to firms they owned, and to serve in Congress. Some threw lavish parties, wore extravagant jewelry and wagered embezzled funds in Las Vegas.
To the dismay of democratic reformers, much of this monolith survives. But two years after his electoral victory over the long-ruling Institutional Revolutionary Party, or PRI, President Vicente Fox has begun to challenge the core of its lingering power: the axis of political and union bosses.
Early this month, federal investigators charged three Oil Workers Union leaders with diverting $170 million from Pemex to the PRI's 2000 presidential campaign. The union responded by threatening its first strike in 65 years, a prospect that last week shook Mexico's financial markets and weakened the peso.
As Wednesday's strike deadline nears, however, the monolith is cracking. The PRI is split, but its leaders refuse to support a strike. And dissidents in the 92,000-member union, which long has been a cornerstone of the PRI, are speaking out against the threatened action.
Pemex and union negotiators say they are now focused solely on wage issues that were on the table before the recent indictments. A strike could cause a new spike in worldwide oil prices, disrupt petroleum exports to the U.S. and cripple Mexico's economy, but both sides are optimistic about reaching an accord by early next week.
Challenging the union and yet avoiding a strike would be a landmark triumph for Fox, who was elected on a promise to end corruption but, until now, had been reluctant to go after past wrongdoers.
Fox Seeks New Image
By facing down a serious challenge to that effort, according to the hawkish advisors who now have his ear, Fox is trying to shed the image of an ineffective, over-conciliatory leader who shies from political combat.
Other aides have been warning the president for months that a frontal attack on the PRI's corrupt legacy would unleash waves of labor unrest and kill any hope of winning the party's support for his free-market reforms. The PRI still controls major trade unions and remains the largest force in Congress, where no party has a majority.