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THE RECALL ELECTION

Times' exit poll results

October 09, 2003|Los Angeles Times

Times' exit poll results

The Times' exit poll results reveal how various groups of voters cast their ballots

The recall vote*

Yes: 55%

No: 45%

The candidate vote:*

Schwarzenegger: 49%

Bustamante: 32%

McClintock: 13%

Others: 6%

Prop 53* (Infrastructure spending)

Yes: 36%

No: 64%

Prop 54* (Racial, ethnic classification)

Yes: 36%

No: 64%

Percentages are from actual returns. Uncounted absentee and provisional ballots are not included.

Note: Rec. = Recall; Sch. = Schwarzenegger; Bus. = Bustamante; McC. = McClintock; P. 53 = Proposition 53; P. 54 = Proposition 54

*--* % voters Rec. Rec. Sch. Bus. McC. P. 53 P. 54 Yes No Yes No Yes No Registered Dem. 46 25 75 23 61 8 31 69 20 80 Registered Ind. 12 54 46 46 26 16 39 61 36 64 Registered Rep. 39 89 11 76 4 18 39 61 56 44 Liberals 34 25 75 21 61 6 32 68 18 82 Moderates 32 55 45 53 28 13 38 62 35 65 Conservatives 34 84 16 70 7 21 38 62 56 44 Liberal Dem. 25 17 83 14 71 5 30 70 15 85 Other Dem. 20 36 64 34 46 13 33 67 26 74 Other Ind. 9 46 54 41 32 12 38 62 30 70 Conservative Ind. 3 77 23 62 8 27 44 56 54 46 Other Rep. 15 81 19 76 8 13 41 59 47 53 Conservative Rep. 25 93 7 77 1 21 39 61 62 38 Whites 72 59 41 53 27 14 36 64 38 62 Blacks 6 21 79 18 65 8 36 64 12 88 Latinos 11 45 55 31 55 10 34 66 25 75 Asians 6 47 53 45 34 15 37 63 28 72 Men 49 59 41 52 29 12 39 61 40 60 Women 51 51 49 44 35 15 33 67 32 68 Union house 30 48 52 42 38 14 34 66 32 68 Nonunion house 70 58 42 51 29 13 37 63 38 62 Age 18 to 29 12 54 46 44 35 13 33 67 34 66 Age 30 to 44 30 55 45 49 31 11 37 63 37 63 Age 45 to 64 40 56 44 49 31 14 35 65 38 62 Age 65 or older 18 53 47 47 34 15 37 63 32 68 H.S. diploma or 15 58 42 46 36 13 37 63 38 62 less Some college 26 63 37 53 25 16 35 65 38 62 Col. degree or 59 50 50 46 34 12 36 64 35 65 higher Non-Catholic 42 67 33 58 21 18 39 61 42 58 Christians Roman Catholics 25 54 46 46 37 13 34 66 36 64 Jews 6 31 69 31 52 9 27 73 26 74 Minority women 14 38 62 30 50 12 30 70 23 77 White women 38 55 45 48 30 16 34 66 35 65 Minority men 13 45 55 39 45 11 41 59 31 69 White men 35 63 37 57 24 12 38 62 42 58 First time voters 4 57 43 50 34 10 41 59 34 66 Voted before 96 55 45 48 32 14 36 64 36 64 L.A. County 25 51 49 46 36 11 34 66 29 71 Orange County 10 70 30 63 21 12 37 63 44 56 Rest of S. Calif. 17 68 32 59 23 14 39 61 41 59 Bay Area 15 34 66 31 49 10 36 64 30 70 Rest of N. Calif. 33 56 44 48 29 16 35 65 40 60 Married 62 59 41 52 28 15 36 64 39 61 Widowed 5 48 52 43 37 17 33 67 25 75 Single 33 48 52 41 39 11 35 65 32 68 Married men 33 61 39 56 26 13 39 61 42 58 Single men 15 52 48 45 35 10 40 60 37 63 Married women 29 56 44 49 30 16 34 66 36 64 Single women 18 44 56 37 42 13 32 68 29 71

*--*

Annual household income:

*--* % voters Rec. Rec. Sch. Bus. McC. P. 53 P. 54 Yes No Yes No Yes No Less than $20,000 8 52 48 40 38 14 36 64 33 67 $20,000 to $39,999 15 53 47 40 37 16 34 66 34 66 $40,000 to $59,999 16 56 44 46 34 13 37 63 35 65 $60,000 to $74,999 15 52 48 46 33 15 36 64 37 63 $75,000 or more 46 55 45 53 30 11 37 63 37 63

*--*

In Nov. 2002 voted for:

*--* % voters Rec. Rec. Sch. Bus. McC. P. 53 P. 54 Yes No Yes No Yes No Gray Davis (D) 50 21 79 21 63 8 33 67 18 82 Bill Simon (R) 36 93 7 78 2 19 39 61 60 40 Peter Camejo 3 30 70 14 44 7 26 74 24 76 (Green)

*--*

Decided how to vote on recall:

*--* % voters Rec. Rec. Sch. Bus. McC. P. 53 P. 54 Yes No Yes No Yes No Last weekend or 6 50 50 48 31 13 35 65 29 71 later Before last 94 57 43 50 31 13 36 64 37 63 weekend

*--*

Decided which candidate to vote for:

*--* % voters Rec. Rec. Sch. Bus. McC. P. 53 P. 54 Yes No Yes No Yes No Last weekend or 17 49 51 41 30 15 35 65 34 66 later Before last 83 62 38 52 30 13 36 64 39 61 weekend

*--*

Support for candidate:

*--* % voters Rec. Rec. Sch. Bus. McC. P. 53 P. 54 Yes No Yes No Yes No Very strong 46 71 29 59 23 14 39 61 45 55 Fairly strong 23 65 35 55 27 13 36 64 37 63 Moderate 31 31 69 30 47 12 32 68 25 75

*--*

Direction of California:

*--* % voters Rec. Rec. Sch. Bus. McC. P. 53 P. 54 Yes No Yes No Yes No Right direction 27 16 84 16 68 8 34 66 19 81 On wrong track 73 71 29 62 17 15 37 63 44 56

*--*

California's economy is doing:

*--* % voters Rec. Rec. Sch. Bus. McC. P. 53 P. 54 Yes No Yes No Yes No Well 26 34 66 30 51 11 37 63 28 72 Badly 74 62 38 54 25 15 35 65 39 61

*--*

Notes: All numbers are percentages; they may not total 100% where some voter groups or candidates are not shown.

How the poll was conducted: The Times Poll interviewed 5,205 voters as they left 74 polling places across California during voting hours Tuesday. Precincts were chosen based on the pattern of turnout in past statewide elections. The survey was by a confidential, self-administered questionnaire in English and Spanish. The margin of sampling error for percentages based on the entire sample is plus or minus 2 percentage points; for some subgroups the error margin may be higher. Because the survey does not include absentee voters or those who declined to participate when approached, the sample was adjusted slightly using absentee estimates, actual returns and demographic estimates by the interviewers. Interviews at the precinct level were conducted by Davis Research of Calabasas.

Times Poll results are also available at www.latimes.com/timespoll.

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