Damage From the Alert System Is Alarming

Congress has a rare opportunity to greatly advance the well being of the nation at no cost to the taxpayer, simply by declaring that no government official, high or low, will be blamed or punished for failing to warn of a terrorist attack. That way, officials will have less reason to issue the orange alerts and general alarms that are far too vague to be of any use but can cause serious damage.

Americans are inundated with useless warnings. We're accustomed to seeing ordinary tools, even simple hammers, festooned with labels identifying all the injuries that they might cause -- a preemptive measure by manufacturers and retailers fearful of cynical lawsuits for "failure to warn." If their wording specified less obvious and avoidable dangers, the labels might serve some purpose. As it is, they add costs while the very general warnings accomplish little.

The same is true of the public warnings of terrorist threats now frequently issued by the Department of Homeland Security and insistently broadcast by the mass media. Lacking any specifics as to time or place or objectives or methods, they are useless to prevent or protect against terrorist attacks but only serve the officials who issue them, by preempting accusations of negligence.

Where any analogy with the labeling of hammers utterly breaks down, of course, is in the cost -- monetary and otherwise. Every time a terrorist warning is issued, a chain of negative economic consequences follows -- from the obvious, like airline and hotel cancellations, to the ones harder to estimate, such as psychological effects. International consequences also range from the measurable loss of tourism revenues to more subtle but probably much larger repercussions on foreign investment.

The purely economic costs are reason enough to do away with the useless public warnings, but the external and domestic political costs are even more important. By projecting images of a fearful United States, these recurring alarms diminish American prestige and therefore the leverage of U.S. diplomacy. Worse still, they encourage attacks, because terrorists are in effect being told that the U.S. remains highly vulnerable.

The greatest of all costs, however, is domestic and cumulative. The successive warnings of ill-defined threats are achieving the very aim of the terrorists. Their purpose is to create fear, in the hope that this will induce Americans to accept terrorist demands.


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