If money begets reality, Mayor James K. Hahn, the top overall money man in the 2005 mayoral race, can't be counted out no matter how much an evolving city-contract scandal touches him. By the same logic, former Assembly Speaker Bob Hertzberg, in second place, has a shot that belies his lack of name recognition as he seeks to pull together a Richard Riordan-like coalition of Valley and city Anglos. Riordan did it with his own millions; Hertzberg must hustle for his.
Dollars also have poured recently into Antonio Villaraigosa's campaign, which started late because of his involvement with Sen. John Kerry's presidential bid and because the recently elected city councilman had to agonize over earlier pledges not to run.
The money trail also suggests that former LAPD Chief and City Councilman Bernard C. Parks is more likely to play spoiler to Hahn than to become mayor. And state Sen. Richard Alarcon looms as a reverse spoiler, helping the incumbent at the expense of Villaraigosa and perhaps Hertzberg.
The map below shows where inside -- and outside -- the city of Los Angeles the candidates raised most of their money in 2004. Each color corresponds to a candidate, and the larger the circle, the more money he raised in that particular area.
-- Howard Blume with Maloy Moore
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1. San Pedro
San Pedro supports its own live-in mayor, neighbor Jimmy. Then there's the money from harbor interests, which consider incumbents a good investment.
2. Rancho Palos Verdes and Rolling Hills
Rancho Palos Verdes and Rolling Hills aren't in L.A., but they've got big money and business downtown, a natural combination for incumbent Hahn.
3. South of downtown
Neighborhoods south of downtown have people and problems galore, but few dollars to buy influence. Some neighborhoods gave zero to the mayor's race. Parks leads the way in Watts 90002 with all of $1,500.
4. Black L.A.
Much of black L.A. supports Parks, but black L.A. lacks money and enough votes to elect a mayor.
5. Black L.A.
Black L.A.'s biggest pot of money lies outside city limits in Baldwin Hills environs, and it's going to Parks ($17,550 in one ZIP), and not to the Son of Kenneth.
6. Santa Monica
Santa Monica, land of liberals with largess, splits between pragmatic Hahnies (who do business downtown) and lefty Antonios (who dream of a better world).
7. Beverly Hills