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Why are we trying to reheat the Cold War?

March 19, 2006|Anatol Lieven | ANATOL LIEVEN, a senior research fellow at the New America Foundation, is author of "America Right or Wrong: An Anatomy of American Nationalism."

HISTORIANS OF the future will look back with amazement at U.S. foreign policy at the turn of the millennium, especially with regard to Russia.

It's true, of course, that the Soviet Union once posed a severe threat to the United States and its allies -- a global challenge that tied up American energies for 50 years and cost tens of thousands of American lives in anti-communist proxy wars. But that struggle ended in 1989 with a Western victory that was not only complete but miraculously peaceful. Since then, the U.S.-Russia relationship has been uneasy but usually cooperative. Not one American has been killed by Russia. And after 9/11, Russia immediately offered its sympathy and help.

So what possible explanation is there for the fact that today -- at a moment when both the U.S. and Russia face the common enemy of Islamist terrorism -- hard-liners within the Bush administration, and especially in the office of Vice President Dick Cheney, are arguing for a new tough line against Moscow along the lines of a scaled-down Cold War? According to media reports, they advocate forming anti-Moscow military alliances with Russia's neighbors and giving overt support to domestic political opponents of President Vladimir V. Putin.

This even as President Bush repeatedly and correctly reminds Americans that terrorists are seeking weapons of mass destruction -- weapons that threaten to obliterate both American and Russian cities.

Tension between the U.S. and Russia is a gross distraction from the mortal threat posed to the world by Islamist terrorism. Why at this critical moment in history, would Washington pick unnecessary fights with Russia, a country that certainly has differences with the U.S. but that threatens neither American lives nor vital U.S. interests?

Some proposed U.S. policies toward Russia seem deliberately provocative. The U.S. should certainly support Georgian and Ukrainian democracy, but is it really in U.S. interests to back the Georgians in their ethnic civil wars against Russian-backed separatists? And why is it in the U.S. interest to take Ukraine into NATO, long before that country has become a stable free-market democracy and when a great many Ukrainians strongly oppose such a move and continue to favor an alliance with Russia?

Encouraging conflicts on Russia's borders is especially unwise and immoral given that, because of the war in Iraq, the U.S. does not actually have troops available to back up any security commitments it might wish to offer countries that break with Moscow.

Of course, the West is right to oppose Moscow on some questions, such as Russia's backing of attempts to rig the last Ukrainian election. But on other issues, there is either room for compromise or reason to question Washington's assumptions.

For example, why castigate Moscow for working with dictatorships when Washington has long done the same thing, routinely accommodating any dictatorship possessed of sufficient oil? Why lecture Russia on the need to adopt "universal market practices" and then howl when it raises its prices for supplying energy to its neighbors to market levels? Why give huge amounts of U.S. aid to one Georgian leader after another just because they are anti-Russian, even after they become corrupt potentates?

Washington certainly has the right to criticize Moscow for aspects of its dealings with Hamas and Iran. But a minimally honest U.S. approach should also recognize that on these matters, Moscow is more in tune with world opinion than Washington. Moreover, the tough American approach to Iran and Hamas may unfortunately be doomed to failure, making Russia a useful intermediary for the U.S.

Then there's Putin's record on democracy. This is indeed a problematic issue because the Russian president has grown increasingly authoritarian. But U.S. expectations in this area are unrealistic. After all, the "democracy" that Putin has allegedly overthrown was, in fact, not a real democracy at all but a pseudo-democracy ruled over by corrupt and brutal oligarchical clans. During the 1990s, the administration of Boris N. Yeltsin, under the sway of the oligarchs and the liberal elites, rigged elections, repressed the opposition and launched a bloody and unnecessary war in Chechnya -- all with the support of Washington.

To ordinary Russians, Western-sponsored "democracy" meant watching helplessly while "liberal" elites looted the country and transferred vast fortunes to Western banks, to the profit of Western economies.

Harvard University, for example, is very belatedly investigating the conduct of professor Andrei Shleifer, who allegedly profited corruptly from a U.S. government-sponsored Russian privatization project on which he was an advisor. Shleifer was long protected by Harvard President Lawrence Summers, who as President Clinton's Treasury secretary himself helped push Russia's monstrous variant of privatization. If U.S. scholars are -- rightly -- outraged by the Shleifer case, imagine how ordinary Russians feel.

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