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Housing woes cross border

Americans who invested in a Mexican beach building boom are now stuck with property they can't afford or unload.

September 08, 2007|Marla Dickerson | Times Staff Writer

PLAYAS DE ROSARITO, MEXICO — The ripples of the U.S. real estate boom began washing up on the shores of this beach town a few years ago. Californians, feeling flush from the steep run-up in housing values stateside, pulled equity from their primary homes and snapped up vacation properties in northern Baja California as if they were buying $10 lobster dinners.

Ground zero was this mid-sized community about 20 miles south of Tijuana, where developers sold hundreds of condominiums on spec. Most jacked up their prices as their projects filled, fueling a sense of urgency among U.S. buyers to get in while the getting was good.

"We nearly had . . . fistfights" over choice units, said Michael Coskey, sales director of the Residences at Playa Blanca, a 274-unit development under construction north of Rosarito in which the average condo is priced at $500,000. "We were all appealing to people's greed."

Greed has turned to regret for some investors who now can't sell their Mexican properties.

Upward of 40% of the condos in some northern Baja projects were purchased by flippers who intended to resell them even before construction was finished. Their aim was to pocket a fast profit in an area where prices had been appreciating 20% to 30% annually in recent years.

But with contagion from the U.S. sub-prime mortgage debacle now spooking many would-be purchasers and credit drying up, the Baja real estate market is flagging. Speculators are starting to sweat.

Californian Chris Romero's biggest worry two years ago was missing out on the action. He had his eye on a $200,000, two-bedroom condo in a project called La Jolla Real in Rosarito. But by the time the then-Diamond Bar resident was ready to commit, the developer had raised the pre- construction price to $250,000.

Instead of folding, Romero doubled down, handing over a $120,000 down payment to lock up two units -- one for $238,000, the other for $270,000 -- before prices increased again. The retiree and his wife reckoned they'd sell the cheaper one just prior to closing and use the profit to help finance the other.

"The market was booming," said Romero, 60.

No more. With the development nearing completion, he's finding buyers scarce and competition fierce. Rosarito is littered with so-called "resale" units whose owners are looking to unload them. Romero is offering a $5,000 bonus to anyone who can bring him a buyer. His $290,000 asking price is "negotiable." And he's willing to provide financing.

More inventory is on the way. About 7,000 condominiums are in the pipeline from Tijuana to Ensenada, with another 5,600 in the planning stages, according to the Assn. of Resort Developers of Baja California. The average price is about $300,000, but some luxury units run into the millions.

Developers say that's still a bargain compared with oceanfront property in the U.S. Still, some say prices here soared more quickly than was rational in an area known for budget motels and cut-rate seafood.

"Everybody was going for the $500,000 condo, the Bellagio," developer Ramon Toledo Arnaiz said. "The fuel was from speculators."

Flippers who can't find buyers will have to come up with the cash to honor their contracts, or secure Mexican mortgage financing at rates as high as 12%.

Those that can't close the deals risk forfeiting their down payment, often 30% of the purchase price.

"The ones who bought multiple units are going to be in real deep doo-doo," said real estate agent Roberta Giesea, owner of Baja4U Properties. "The market has slowed way down."

Speculators are likewise smarting in Puerto Peñasco, also known as Rocky Point, a beach resort in Sonora state 60 miles south of the Arizona border on the Gulf of California.

Spurred on by soaring real estate prices at home, Arizonans snatched up Puerto Peñasco condos at "crazy" prices that topped $1 million for some penthouses, said Dee Brooks, owner of Twin Dolphins Real Estate in Rocky Point.

She said many flippers had not been able to sell their units. Meanwhile the rental market is so saturated that most can't cover their costs by leasing their properties.

With the Arizona market now cooling, some investors don't have enough equity remaining in their U.S. homes to close on their Mexican condos, nor can they get financing in a tightening credit market.

Brooks said she had dozens of listings from "desperate" sellers, some of who may have to walk away from their properties if they can't find buyers to bail them out.

She figures prices on some units will have to fall at least 25% for her to move them. Owners are in denial.

"They call me up crying, but what can I do?" Brooks said. "I can't perform a miracle. The market is slow. I'm not going to be able to get them the money they want."

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