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Fighting may spark a new U.S. policy battle over Russia

Some say the White House sent Georgia mixed signals. The fallout may bolster hard-liners' stance.

CONFLICT IN CAUCASUS: DIPLOMACY IN DISARRAY

August 13, 2008|Julian E. Barnes and Peter Spiegel, Times Staff Writers

One U.S. government analyst who works on Russian issues noted that Rice was in Tbilisi last month promising NATO membership for Georgia, telling Saakashvili publicly, "We always fight for our friends."

A senior U.S. official involved in Russia policymaking vehemently denied that the administration had sent mixed messages, arguing that although Saakashvili had long received strong support from the most senior American officials, Georgians were warned not to engage Russia militarily.


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"We have consistently, and on Thursday also, urged the Georgians not to move their forces in. We were unambiguous about it," said the official, who spoke on the condition of anonymity when discussing private talks with the Georgians. "Saakashvili had always told us he could not stand by while Georgian villages were being shelled, and we always knew this was a point of pressure. We always told him that he should not give in to the kind of provocations we knew the Russians were capable of."

But Phillips said he believed that even if the State Department was warning the Russians, the Georgians heard a different message.

"I think the State Department was assiduous in urging restraint, and Saakashvili's buddies in the White House and Office of the Vice President kept egging him on," Phillips said.

The administration's mistake, he said, was that the close relationship between senior administration officials and Saakashvili led the Georgian president headlong into the Russian army.

"The Bush administration was far too chummy with Saakashvili," Phillips said. "That allowed him to misinterpret the degree and depth of our support."

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julian.barnes@latimes.com

peter.spiegel@latimes.com

Times staff writer James Gerstenzang in Washington contributed to this report.

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