MADRID — Three years ago, an influential French academic named Francois Heisbourg made a splash with a book with a provocative question as its title: "The End of the West?"
Heisbourg asserted that the traditional concept of the West, defined as a strategic entity formed by the United States and Europe, belonged to the past. After this month's tepid response by Western powers to the Russia-Georgia clash, many on the continent were inclined to agree.
Not so fast, says the very man who raised the question. Heisbourg is now taking a contrary view that sharpens the debate. Russia blundered in seeking revenge for perceived humiliations at the hands of what it sees as a soft and weak West, he said in an interview Friday.
As a result, Russia provided precisely the kind of urgent catalyst that can renew the ailing transatlantic alliance, he said.
"There's a strong element of paradox," he said. "The one thing that could re-create the West is Russia acting in opposition to the West. . . . NATO had lost its way. The Russians have created a situation which gives NATO a raison d'etre again: to contain Russia."
Few observers characterize the Western reaction to the Georgia crisis, which caught Europe in its August vacation slumber, as united or vigorous. The disarray in European capitals and Washington no doubt reaffirmed Russia's "dim view of our ability to act coherently," Heisbourg said.
"The immediate response was pathetic," he said. "There was no NATO meeting, no EU meeting. . . . The Russians assume there are divisions, and they are right."
Divisions are inevitable because of the anti-Russian bent of new member states in Central and Eastern Europe and varying degrees of enthusiasm elsewhere for Washington's tough stance, analysts say.
"There's no unity at all within Europe. The newer EU countries are far more anti-Russian than the older ones," said Margot Light, a Russian foreign policy expert at the London School of Economics and Political Science.
In addition, the realities of economics and energy constrict the abilities of many European leaders when it comes to taking on Moscow.
"Europe will remain overwhelmingly dependent on Russian gas," said Oksana Antonenko, a Eurasia expert at London's International Institute for Strategic Studies. "Of course, many countries like Germany and Italy that buy their oil and gas from Russia, they have to worry that if the relationship deteriorates, it will have an impact on their economy."
