TAMPA, FLA. — John McCain now has a pathway to the Republican presidential nomination. The question is whether he can put his fractured party back together.
The Arizona senator, long the bane of the GOP establishment, showed in Florida that he could begin cobbling together a new Republican coalition -- attracting enough support from all corners of the party base to give him a plurality in the biggest and most diverse state to vote so far in the 2008 campaign.
For The Record
Los Angeles Times Friday, February 01, 2008 Home Edition Main News Part A Page 2 National Desk 2 inches; 64 words Type of Material: Correction
Florida profile: A graphic in Wednesday's Section A comparing Florida's demographics to California's listed Asians as 20% of Florida's population. They make up 2% of the population. Also, Florida's white population of 76% was compared with California's non-Hispanic white population of 43%. The white populations for both states are Florida, 76%, and California, 60%. The non-Hispanic white populations are Florida, 61%, and California, 43%.
He took about a quarter of conservatives, secured nearly a third of evangelicals, dominated among his typical base of self-described moderates, and won easily among voters who care about authenticity, experience and electability.
In winning Florida, McCain threw off a major critique of his candidacy: He prevailed in an all-Republican primary that excluded the more moderate independents who had ensured McCain's wins in New Hampshire and South Carolina.
And in a state plagued by insurance woes, falling home prices and a rising number of foreclosures, he defeated a rival, former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, who had portrayed himself as the best-equipped to fix the economy.
Still, exit polls and voter interviews here showed that McCain had far to go before he could claim the party mantle.
He won about 1 in 5 voters who called themselves "very conservative." An even smaller share of GOP voters said McCain "shares my values." He benefited from former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, whose presence on the ballot drew support from many conservatives in the Orlando, Tampa Bay and Jacksonville areas that Romney needed to win.
McCain, a moderate on immigration issues, dominated among Cuban Americans and other Latino voters who make up a far greater share of the Republican electorate than in other states.
Tuesday's results set up a dramatic face-off over the next six days as McCain and Romney compete in more than 20 states. Each man aims to prove that only he can build the elusive GOP coalition.
"The race seems to have settled in now," said Florida Republican Gov. Charlie Crist, whose 11th-hour endorsement of McCain helped give him credibility with some in the state's GOP base. "It is clear that it seems to be a two-man race."
McCain and Romney have sharply contrasting styles and records, but neither has won the adoration of the party's core conservative voters.
Although Romney won in a number of Florida's most conservative counties, his margins were not as large as his strategists had hoped.
