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China's quake may fuel inflation

The nation gets much of its pork, whose price is up 69% in the last year, from the region.

May 21, 2008|Don Lee, Times Staff Writer

SHANGHAI — The powerful earthquake that rattled Sichuan province is not expected to hamper China's economic growth, but it could ripple through the economy in one significant way: inflation.

Sichuan accounts for just 4% of the nation's gross domestic product and less than 2% of the country's foreign trade and investment. But the south-central province is the nation's leading pig-farming region and a large producer of grains.


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Prices for pork, a staple of the Chinese diet, have soared over the last year, helping fuel China's inflation to levels unseen in more than a decade. In April, consumer prices rose 8.5% from a year earlier, well above the government's annual inflation target of 4.8%.

Still unclear is the extent of the quake damage to farms and pork producers and suppliers, many of which are based more than 100 miles southeast of the hardest-hit areas. But some pork processors said they've had trouble getting hogs because of damage to roads.

"We cannot purchase pigs," said Liu Feng, a salesman at Sichuan Gaojin Food Co., a major pork-processing company in Suining, about 130 miles from the quake's epicenter in Wenchuan.

Liu said his company normally bought 1,000 hogs a day. "Today we raised the price twice and the most we got was 200 pigs."

Concerned about hoarding and gouging after the quake, authorities in Sichuan and neighboring provinces of Gansu and Shaanxi have said they would control food prices and transportation fares. The central government has ordered daily price monitoring and punishment for people taking advantage of the disaster.

At the same time, Beijing has loosened credit restrictions to allow loans to flow to quake-damaged areas. Chinese banks have offered about $430 million in loans for reconstruction, a top bank regulator said Monday. Chinese officials had tightened lending and raised bank reserve requirements four times this year to fight inflation.

China's rising inflation and some of its measures to control it, such as lifting the value of its currency, have contributed to higher prices of Chinese-made goods for American consumers.

Before Premier Wen Jiabao rushed out to the quake zone, he spoke at a farm and in other settings to reassure citizens that China had sufficient grain production and foods.

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