Poll shows race for Prop. 4, parental notification before abortion, is close

The poll found that 45% of likely voters supported Proposition 4, while 43% opposed it. The two-point lead shows a narrowing of support for the measure. It had an eight-point lead in September, with 49% supporting it and 41% opposing it.

Previous attempts to pass a parental notification law on the California ballot in 2005 and 2006 were narrowly defeated on Election Day after enjoying early leads in polls.

"This year's outcome could also be close," the poll said.

The survey of 966 likely voters surveyed between Oct. 18 and Oct. 28 also showed that support has decreased for Proposition 1A, which would allow the state to sell $9.95 billion in bonds to fund a $45-billion bullet train connecting Orange County and Los Angeles to the San Francisco Bay Area. The measure has the support of 47% of likely voters, with 42% opposed. In July, the proposition had a much wider, 26-point lead, with 56% supporting the measure and 30% against it.

Voters appeared to be warming to Proposition 3, the children's hospital bond measure, whose support widened to a 19-point lead, up from a 12-point lead in the July Field Poll. The measure would authorize the state to sell $980 million in bonds to finance the construction and expansion at 13 children's hospitals across the state.

An alternative fuels bond measure, Proposition 10, was leading by 49% to 39%. The measure permits the state to borrow $5 billion and distribute it mostly as rebates to buyers of vehicles fueled by natural gas, hydrogen, electricity, and other alternative fuels.

And Proposition 12, the veteran's aid measure, had a 29-point lead, with 58% supporting it and 29% opposed. That measure would issue $900 million in bonds to provide low-cost loans to California veterans for the purchase of farms and homes.

The margin of error on the poll was 3.3 percentage points.

Review the California measures at the Times' Voter Guide or read summaries of them here.