Less money going to Mexico as U.S. economy falters
Remittances that Mexicans living in the U.S. send home take a dive, and families south of the border are feeling the effects.
MEXICO CITY — The money that Mexicans living in the U.S. send home, a lifeline for both the economy here and millions of families, has suffered its steepest decline on record, dragged down in large part by the American financial crisis.
The bad news, announced today by the Bank of Mexico, follows government assurances that the U.S. crisis would not have a severe effect on Mexico.
Remittances fell to $1.9 billion for August, a 12.2% drop from the same month last year, the bank said. "In the coming months, it can be anticipated that . . . family remittances will continue to show a loss in strength," the bank said.
Remittances account for the second-largest source of foreign income in Mexico, after oil exports, and have more than doubled in value in recent years, to nearly $24 billion in 2007. The money is used to pave roads, start businesses, furnish homes and help feed and clothe families.
But the trend began to reverse this year. Both the U.S. economic downturn, especially in the construction sector that employs many Mexican immigrants, and tightened controls along the U.S.-Mexican border have slowed the flow of money and people.
August's showing was the biggest fall in remittances since authorities began keeping records 12 years ago, the bank said.
Countless Mexican towns are feeling the pinch, with small mom-and-pop businesses failing and families struggling to make ends meet.
The central bank also calculated that unemployment is running considerably higher among Mexican immigrants working in the U.S. than among the general labor force. Unemployment among Mexican immigrants was about 4.5% in March of last year and has soared to nearly 7.5% now. The U.S. jobless rate for the general work force is 6.1%.
Mexican President Felipe Calderon said in a speech last month that his country is so free of dependence on the United States that financial disaster there will be but a glancing blow here. Finance Minister Agustin Carstens later sounded less sanguine. He told reporters in Washington this week that while Mexico is generally protected from U.S. fallout, the Mexican economy will be hurt by declines in remittances, manufactured exports and tourism.
Economic analyst Rogelio Ramírez de la O warned that the government will minimize the effect of the U.S. crisis at its own peril. Although it is true that Mexican banks are not teetering on the brink of collapse, more and more Mexicans are sinking deeper into debt, he said. And, he added, the government is spending as though there were no tomorrow.
"The government must first understand the reality and then communicate it clearly to Congress, to business leaders and to the public," Ramirez wrote in today's El Universal newspaper. "If the government does nothing, as it has so far, it will take this country down a dead-end road."
wilkinson@latimes.com
