The Southern California real estate crash has finally reached the high-end areas of the Westside.
Home prices in Beverly Hills, Santa Monica and Malibu -- which continued to soar well into 2008 -- finally tanked at the end of the year, losing between 26% and 30% of their value in just a few months, the latest data show.
The sudden drop came as a surprise to Shelley Conn, who remained a believer in the myth that the wealthier parts of the Westside were immune until she put her Santa Monica house on the market last spring.
She and her husband, Bill, had been offered $2.4 million for the three-bedroom just months before, so she listed the house for $2.3 million, figuring that would make up for the lousy real estate climate. But it didn't sell until November, after the couple dropped the price to $1.9 million.
It's still a lot of money for a basic one-story house. But in Conn's wealthy neighborhood, few residents thought anything would drop below $2 million.
"I didn't believe it until the end," Conn said.
But it's true.
The median price of a single-family home in Beverly Hills was $2.1 million in the fourth quarter of 2008, down from $3 million in the second quarter, according to data prepared for The Times by research firm MDA DataQuick. Pacific Palisades closed the year with a median price of $2.2 million, down from a high of $2.6 million during the second quarter, and Santa Monica's median was $1.6 million, down from $2.1 million last winter.
Even among the merely well-off in Culver City, prices have come down, to $647,500, 17% below the peak. In ZIP Code 90035, just south of Beverly Hills, the median sale price had been more than $1 million for most of 2007 but fell in the fourth quarter of 2008 to $800,000.
Brentwood's fourth-quarter median of $2.3 million was down 11% from its peak.
"The market is absolutely correcting," said Richard Stearns, who lives in Santa Monica and sells real estate in Brentwood. "Prices are softening, houses are taking longer to sell, the number of transactions is down."
The downward trend is no surprise to economist Christopher Thornberg, principal of the Los Angeles consulting firm Beacon Economics, who for years angered many real estate agents by repeatedly saying the Westside would eventually see price declines just like the rest of Southern California.
"It was never a function of if," Thornberg said. "It was always when."