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Being No. 1 doesn't matter at this point

CHRIS DUFRESNE / ON COLLEGE BASKETBALL

Not since Duke in 2001 has the team ranked No. 1 at the end of the regular season by the Associated Press won the national title.

January 22, 2009|CHRIS DUFRESNE | ON COLLEGE BASKETBALL

Louisville defeated Pittsburgh last weekend and Wake Forest deforested Clemson and that meant "Yabba-Dabba Do!" for the kids at Wake Forest, who anticipated their basketball team's imminent ascent to No. 1.

The student body has co-opted "The Flintstones" as a television tie-in to Coach Dino Gaudio, who has done remarkable work since taking over the program following Skip Prosser's shocking death in 2007.

Gaudio, though, knows how fast rankings can turn to Barney Rubble.

"If you're happy to be No. 1 on Jan. 19, then you aren't the team I think you are," Gaudio told his players.

Wake Forest found out Wednesday when it was upset at home by unranked Virginia Tech. And maybe that's not a bad thing.

There are few things more meaningless -- wings on an ostrich, perhaps? -- than being No. 1 in college basketball in November, December, January, February or March.

The only "1" that matters this year is April 1, when we'll know the four schools headed for the Final Four in Detroit.

Everything until then is Digger Phelps and the mute button.

A lot of people think Congress should intervene to toss out college football polls, when, in fact, the rankings that need to go are basketball's.

You talk about violating the "anti-trust" act.

How can you trust people who made North Carolina the first unanimous preseason No. 1 in the history of the Associated Press basketball poll?

North Carolina has already lost twice and, in this week's AP poll, is only the third-highest-ranked team in its state behind Wake Forest and Duke.

Football polls, now those are life and death. The dramatic rise of Oklahoma to No. 1 in the final Bowl Championship Series standings last season, for example, earned the Sooners the chance to lose another national title game.

In 2006, one-loss Florida put on a full-court poll press and sneaked by Michigan for No. 2 in the BCS, which led to a win over Ohio State and three straight national titles for the Southeastern Conference.

With rare exceptions, there are two things you don't want to be in college basketball: undefeated or top-ranked.

The last undefeated team to win the national title was Indiana in 1975-76.

Since 1977, only five teams entering the NCAA tournament ranked No. 1 in the AP poll ended up winning the championship: Kentucky (1978), North Carolina (1982), Duke (1992), UCLA (1995) and Duke (2001).

Here's a look, in recent years, at the top-ranked schools entering the tournament.

2008, North Carolina. How it fared: Lost in national semifinals to Kansas.

Champion: Kansas (No. 4 in pre-tournament AP).

2007, Ohio State. How it fared: Lost in national final to Florida (No. 3 in pre-tournament AP).

2006, Duke. How it fared: Lost in regional semifinals to Louisiana State.

Champion: Florida (No. 11 in pre-tournament AP).

2005, Illinois. How it fared: Lost in national final to North Carolina (No. 2 in pre-tournament AP).

2004, Stanford. How it fared: Lost in second round to Alabama.

Champion: Connecticut (No. 7 in pre-tournament AP).

2003, Kentucky. How it fared: Lost in regional finals to Marquette.

Champion: Syracuse (No. 13 in pre-tournament AP).

Detect a trend? The secret to success in college basketball is to be good early, but not too good.

Be hot in March, not December.

Play yourself into a solid, workable and winnable tournament seeding. UCLA, in 2006 and 2007, was No. 7 in the final regular-season AP poll, garnered a No. 2 seeding and made the Final Four without having to leave California.

Strive, in the regular season, for "almost" greatness. Reach for the moon, but not the stars.

If you get to No. 1 at any point during the season, say it's a terrific honor and a testament to hard work.

Hope Wake Forest enjoyed the bedlam in Bedrock while it lasted. Had a dry martini, on the rocks, dressed as Fred and Wilma. Had itself a "gay old" time.

But the Demon Deacons are better off aspiring to be No. 4.

Loose ends

Scoping the national scene from Blacksburg: Virginia Tech Coach Seth Greenberg, who once coached at Long Beach State, says there are "three or four" elite teams in the country and then a lot of good teams. "When I say a lot of good teams," he said, "there are another 50 or 60 that, on a given night, can play up and find a way to win."

The great "debate" continues: The Atlantic Coast Conference has four teams ranked in this week's top 10, but the Big East has eight teams ranked in the top 25. So the ACC is better?

"The only place they're debating that is in the South, I would think," Syracuse Coach Jim Boeheim says.

OK, but what about the Big Ten, a basketball conference literally on the rebound?

Jeff Sagarin's conference power rankings through Tuesday: ACC, Big Ten, Big East, Pac-10, Big 12. Realtime.rip.com has it ACC, Big Ten, Big East, Big 12, Pac-10. And Mike DeCourcy of the Sporting News says it's definitely the ACC. "There may be more quality teams in the Big East, but only because there are only more teams," he wrote.

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