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For a healthcare holdout, it's lonely in the middle

Arkansas Democrat Blanche Lincoln, who remains undecided on Senate legislation, is getting pummeled from the left and right.

November 23, 2009|By Mark Z. Barabak
  • Max Baucus consults with Blanche Lincoln over the Senate Finance Committee's version of healthcare legislation.
Max Baucus consults with Blanche Lincoln over the Senate Finance Committee's… (Alex Wong / Getty Images )

Reporting from Conway, Ark. — As one of the few senators undecided on healthcare reform, Arkansas Democrat Blanche Lincoln faces a huge headache. Liberals attack her as an obstructionist, even though she cast a key vote keeping the effort alive. Republicans are lining up to run against her -- seven, so far, and counting.

The voters here at home seem conflicted, if not downright confused.

Take Jim Havens. He greeted Lincoln with a warm embrace when she showed up at the University of Central Arkansas for a service honoring veterans; his late brother was a family friend. Moments later, as Lincoln sat on stage, the 73-year-old state employee related his frustrations with the healthcare system: the struggle to cover his wife before Medicare kicked in, the exclusions that made her expensive policy barely worth the cost.

"What we got is broken," Havens said. But, he quickly added, "what I don't think we need to do is rush to fix it and make things even worse."

It once seemed that passing a healthcare bill would be, if not easy, at least not as hard as it has been for Democrats, who continued bickering Sunday even after pushing legislation to the Senate floor. They hold the White House, have a sizable majority in the House and a supermajority in the Senate: 58 Democrats and two independents who typically vote with the party.

But those numbers fail to account for the message that some lawmakers are receiving from voters like Havens.

"There's lots of diversity as Democrats," Lincoln said during a recent home visit, as the telephones in her Little Rock office rang nonstop. "People have to realize that in that diversity there's differences and those differences have to be respected. You can't just draw a line in the sand and say, 'As Democrats, this is what we have to be for.' "

With Senate Republicans apparently in solid opposition, Democrats need every one of their members and both independents to prevent a GOP filibuster and pass healthcare legislation. The House approved its version by a narrow 220 to 215.

At this time, however, Senate Democrats are shy of the 60 votes they need. Those balking include independent Joe Lieberman of Connecticut and Democrats Lincoln, Evan Bayh of Indiana, Mary L. Landrieu of Louisiana, Ben Nelson of Nebraska and Mark Pryor of Arkansas.

Each voted Saturday to advance the bill for debate starting next week. Lincoln was the last to commit. But none is assured of supporting the legislation on final passage.

Several issued statements Sunday criticizing the measure and vowed to change it, or else. "I don't think anyone thinks this bill will pass as it is," Lieberman said on NBC's "Meet The Press."

Of the holdouts, Lincoln may be the most politically vulnerable. "She's getting it from both sides," said Carmie Henry, a Democratic veteran of Arkansas politics.

Unhappy with her fence-sitting, the liberal group Moveon.org has targeted Lincoln with demonstrations, radio spots and mailers urging her to support the public option, a government-run insurance plan that would compete with private companies. TV ads are set to begin Monday.

Perhaps more worrisome, one and possibly two Democrats may jump into the primary and challenge Lincoln from the left. Republicans, meantime, have pounded Lincoln almost daily in news releases and Internet advertising.

A big part of Lincoln's problem is President Obama. He lost Arkansas by 20 percentage points -- one of his worst showings in the country -- and the combination of a bad economy and the steps taken to fight the downturn have done little to improve Obama's standing.

"All these stimulus packages he's put forward and all these loans, where's the benefit for us?" said Paul Hamick, 25, a laid-off home-care worker in Russellville.

As Lincoln rolled by in a parade, tossing candy from the back of a white Ford pickup, he waved politely. But he won't be happy if she backs the president on healthcare.

"Our country's already in debt billions and billions of dollars," Hamick said. "We don't need more debt." Actually, the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office estimates the Senate's healthcare bill would reduce the federal deficit by $130 billion over 10 years.

Lincoln delicately acknowledged the difficulty Obama presents her in 2010. "People's expectations have been heightened," she said. "You're the first thing between those expectations and results, so it's going to be a tough year."

But it's not just Republicans or the state's large bloc of conservative-leaning independent voters whom Lincoln has to worry about. Democrats still dominate Arkansas politics at the state and local levels, holding the governor's office, big majorities in the Legislature and five of six congressional seats. Some are angry Lincoln has not been more loyal to the president.

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