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Sam Farmer's NFL Week 10 picks

The Times' NFL writer examines this week's matchups and makes his predictions.

November 11, 2010|By Sam Farmer

Lines according to Glantz-Culver (O/U = over/under). Last week's record: 7-6; season 73-57 (.562). Using point spreads with the scores Farmer predicted, the handicapped record would have been 7-6; season 61-69 (.469).

Tennessee at Miami
Records: 5-3; 4-4.
When: Sunday, 10 a.m.
TV: none. DirecTV: 704.
Line: Titans by 1. O/U: 43.
The Dolphins are sputtering. Well-rested Tennessee has won three of four and has had time to work Randy Moss into the offense. Titans 27, Dolphins 20

N.Y. Jets at Cleveland
Records: 6-2; 3-5.
When: Sunday, 10 a.m.
TV: none. DirecTV: 705.
Line: Jets by 3. O/U: 37.
If the Browns can control the clock with Peyton Hillis and Colt McCoy continues to complete those high-percentage passes, they've got a chance for an upset. Browns 21, Jets 17

Cincinnati at Indianapolis
Records: 2-6; 5-3.
When: Sunday, 10 a.m.
TV: Channel 2. DirecTV: 706.
Line: Colts by 7. O/U: 47.
It looks as if the Colts won't have Austin Collie, but they should get a boost in their ground game from the return of Joseph Addai and Mike Hart. Colts 28, Bengals 15

Houston at Jacksonville
Records: 4-4; 4-4.
When: Sunday, 10 a.m.
TV: none. DirecTV: 707.
Line: Jaguars by 2. O/U: 50.
The Texans have given up at least 29 points in four consecutive games, three of which they lost. Their pass defense is a huge liability. Jaguars 30, Texans 27

Detroit at Buffalo
Records: 2-6; 0-8.
When: Sunday, 10 a.m.
TV: none. DirecTV: 708.
Line: Bills by 3. O/U: 43.
Despite their 0-8 record, the Bills have stayed in games against good teams. Shaun Hill takes over for Matthew Stafford in Detroit. Bills 24, Lions 20

Minnesota at Chicago
Records: 3-5; 5-3.
When: Sunday, 10 a.m.
TV: Channel 11. DirecTV: 709
Line: Vikings by 1. O/U: 40.
Slowing Jared Allen will be a tough task for Bears left tackle Frank Omiyale, and that could set the tone for the game.?Vikings 20, Bears 17

Carolina at Tampa Bay
Records: 1-7; 5-3.
When: Sunday, 10 a.m.
TV: none. DirecTV: 710.
Josh Freeman is for real, and Tampa Bay is taking care of the ball. Carolina just doesn't have the offensive firepower. Buccaneers 17, Panthers 9

Kansas City at Denver
Records: 5-3; 2-6.
When: Sunday, 1 p.m.
TV: none. DirecTV: 711.
Line: Chiefs by 1. O/U: 43.
The Broncos can neither run the ball nor stop the run. That's a problem against a well-balanced Kansas City attack. Chiefs 23, Broncos 20

Dallas at N.Y. Giants
Records: 1-7; 6-2.
When: Sunday, 1:15 p.m.
TV: Channel 11. DirecTV: 712.
Line: Giants by 14. O/U: 45.
The Cowboys might get an emotional bump from the change to Jason Garrett, but it's hard to believe that will derail the rolling Giants. Giants 33, Cowboys 24

Seattle at Arizona
Records: 4-4; 3-5.
When: Sunday, 1:15 p.m.
TV: none. DirecTV: 713.
Line: Cardinals by 3. O/U: 41.
Aside from a win at Chicago, the Seahawks have been bad on the road and have gotten clobbered in consecutive weeks. Not good for their confidence. Cardinals 21, Seahawks 14

St. Louis at San Francisco
Records: 4-4; 2-6.
When: Sunday, 1:15 p.m.
TV: none. DirecTV: 714.
Line: 49ers by 6. O/U: 38.
Ultra-accurate rookie Sam Bradford has gone three games without an interception. Now it's time for him to pick up a win on the road. Rams 17, 49ers 14

New England at Pittsburgh
Records: 6-2; 6-2.
When: Sunday, 5:15 p.m.
TV: Channel 4.
Line: Steelers by 4. O/U: 45.
Since trading Moss, the Patriots have been unable to stretch the field. Against the Steelers, that brings Troy Polamalu closer to the line. Uh-oh. Steelers 24, Patriots 21

Philadelphia at Washington
Records: 5-3; 4-4.
When: Monday, 5:30 p.m.
TV: ESPN.
Line: Eagles by 3. O/U: 42.
The Eagles have a chance to avenge their Week 4 loss to the Redskins. The key will be Michael Vick pressuring Washington's suspect secondary. Eagles 27, Redskins 20

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