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Index of pending home sales rises 5.2%

July's increase from June in the National Assn. of Realtors' gauge for previously owned residences follows two straight months of declines and a report that sales of such homes dived 27.2%.

September 02, 2010|By Alejandro Lazo, Los Angeles Times

An index of home purchase contracts for previously owned dwellings unexpectedly increased 5.2% in July over June, the National Assn. of Realtors said Thursday, a modest note of good news for the U.S. housing market.

The pickup in contracts, which typically take about one or two months to convert into closed deals, or sales, follows two consecutive months of declines and a report last week that sales of previously owned homes plunged 27.2% in July.

"The news isn't terrible," said Michael D. Larson, an interest rate and housing analyst for Weiss Research. "But it's not great either, especially when you consider that mortgage rates are the lowest in recorded history."

"We should be seeing more sales with financing so cheap," Larson said. "The fact we're not speaks to the severity of the jobs crisis and the ongoing lack of confidence in the future direction of home prices."

Lawrence Yun, chief economist for the National Assn. of Realtors, which produces the pending home sales index, cautioned that the housing market probably would remain weak without the $8,000 federal tax credit for buyers that expired April 30.

"Home sales will remain soft in the months ahead, but improved affordability conditions should help with a recovery," Yun said.

A forward-looking indicator based on the number of purchase contracts signed, the index rose to 79.4, up from a downwardly revised 75.5 in June. That level remains 19.1% below that in July 2009, when it was 98.1.

An index reading of 100 is equal to the average level of contract activity during 2001, which was the first year the group began tracking the data as well as the first of five straight years of increases for sales of previously owned homes.

The pending home sales index was up 11.6% in the West in July from the prior month, 1.2% in the South, 4.1% in the Midwest and 6.3% in the Northeast.

Home builder stocks rose after the report, with the Standard & Poor's index of 12 major builders increasing 2% after rising 3.6% on Wednesday. Los Angeles-based KB Home closed at $11.66, up 21 cents, or 1.8%.

alejandro.lazo@latimes.com

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