On Friday, the Los Angeles City Council will spend the day poring over a proposed memorandum of understanding with Anschutz Entertainment Group, the giant sports and entertainment company that built Staples Center and L.A. Live and now hopes to build a downtown football stadium. The council does not intend to vote on the agreement this week but rather to publicly air any remaining questions. It should take full advantage of this crucial opportunity to satisfy itself and the public that this deal is neither a developer giveaway nor a sop to beleaguered football fans, but rather is one that makes economic and environmental sense for Los Angeles.
With this negotiation coming to a head, the city's elected leaders need to focus on what matters — protecting taxpayers against undue risk and residents against excessive environmental impact while trying to chart a course to revive the city's troubled Convention Center — and to be clear about what doesn't. The council's goal cannot be to refuse any risk whatsoever, nor can it be to hold out for a stadium that creates no traffic or need for parking. It must balance the potential gains for the city in terms of jobs and tax revenue against the predictable impact of building a 72,000-seat stadium in the heart of downtown.
Some close observers of City Hall, especially those too accustomed to disappointment, see Friday's session as window-dressing. AEG and its chief executive, Tim Leiweke, are lavish contributors to political campaigns and powerful players in Los Angeles politics. Having helped promote and elect the city government, AEG now stands to reap the reward of its investment — a view widely shared among City Hall's many critics. In a city where cynicism is often rewarded by results, there is no denying AEG's influence, experience or expertise in negotiating deals. As a result, this deal cannot be made based on a simple trust in AEG. Indeed, one thing we can safely predict about Friday's session is that council members will try to score points with constituents by beating up the company, and then, later, will vote in favor of the proposal.
But theatrically railing against the deal is just as self-interested as supporting it in return for political backing. The proposal needs to be evaluated on its merits: how much it can do for the city and whether those benefits outweigh the costs, risks and inconveniences that it will certainly entail. In evaluating whether this proposal balances those factors adequately, here are half a dozen areas that the council would do well to inquire about and consider deeply:
1. How much risk is there to taxpayers? When AEG first presented the idea of a downtown stadium, it proposed that the city issue $350 million in bonds for the project, the debt service of which would be paid by the taxes generated from the project itself — property taxes, along with the sales taxes generated by every Styrofoam finger or bobble-head doll sold inside the stadium; that mountain of pennies would gradually pay off the stadium rather than go to city services. As the deal has been negotiated, however, the overall amount of the bond has steadily fallen and the use of taxes has shifted to the city's advantage. Now, the proposal before the council puts taxpayers on the hook for $195 million, with AEG carrying a separate bond of $80 million to build parking garages (AEG would then own those garages, on land it would lease from the city for $500,000 a year).
The city's chief risk lies in the $195 million of lease revenue bonds, which the city's general fund is responsible for repaying. But the original proposal — that all sales, business license and hotel bed taxes generated by the project would be funneled back into debt service — has changed shape during the negotiations. Now, officials say that the city would get to keep the money from those sources and that the debt service on the $195 million would be covered by a combination of annual rent payments of $6.5 million, along with parking and construction sales taxes. The city would keep sales and bed taxes. If the remaining revenue streams come up short, AEG has promised to pay the difference. The council should examine those estimates and create mechanisms to ensure that the AEG promise is unbreakable.
In that vein, it's important to remember that this project stretches far into the future; downtown today is lively and growing, but just a decade ago it was not. Thirty years from now, L.A. Live might be shabby and the stadium might not be living up to its initial promise. AEG could even be bankrupt. This deal needs to anticipate those possibilities as well.