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Greek move for bailout referendum returns Europe to crisis mode

Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou is assailed on all sides over his decision to put a rescue package to a popular vote, just as Europe thought it had reassured markets with its debt-crisis pact.

November 02, 2011|By Henry Chu and Anthee Carassava, Los Angeles Times
  • Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou arrives for a Cabinet meeting Tuesday in Athens. He has said he sees his plan for a referendum as a necessary exercise in democracy.
Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou arrives for a Cabinet meeting Tuesday… (Yiorgos Karahalis, Reuters )

Reporting from London and Athens — Europe's latest plan to claw its way out of a monumental debt crisis lies in grave doubt less than a week after being cobbled together, following a shocking move to put the accord to a popular vote in Greece that threw both the government there and financial markets around the world into turmoil.

Confounded officials, analysts and investors were left struggling to divine what they saw as Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou lobbing a grenade into Europe's attempts to keep his country afloat by calling for a referendum on the new rescue package. Dismayed French and German leaders summoned Papandreou to an emergency meeting Wednesday in Cannes, France, in advance of the Group of 20 summit there this week.

Europe's leaders had hoped to use the gathering to tout their new agreement to boost their bailout fund and write down 50% of Greek debt held in private hands. But the plan is now in danger of emerging stillborn, increasing the prospects that Greece might undergo a chaotic default and that the debt crisis could reverberate through the big economies of Italy and Spain, possibly setting off another global recession.

Papandreou's move comes just before Greece is due to receive $11 billion in loans from its European partners and the International Monetary Fund. The surprise announcement provoked an immediate backlash within his own Socialist party, leaving his government hanging by a thread.

It is uncertain whether he can survive a vote of confidence scheduled for Friday, much less spearhead a national referendum that would probably not be held before January, if at all. Some of the rebelling backbench lawmakers joined opposition politicians in demanding that Papandreou resign, form a national unity government or call snap elections.

But he emerged from a marathon emergency Cabinet session early Wednesday with the "full backing" of his senior ministers in carrying out the referendum, government spokesman Elias Mossialos said. A special committee will be appointed to oversee the details of the balloting.

During the meeting, Papandreou told his colleagues that he was determined to see the referendum through, because Greece's rescue program could not be imposed "by force, but only with the consent of the Greek people," according to prepared remarks released by his office.

He said the choice before voters was, in effect, "yes or no to Europe, yes or no to the euro."

A recent poll showed that a majority of Greeks, reeling from the ever-harsher austerity cuts demanded by the European Union and the IMF, oppose the crisis plan hammered out in Brussels last week after intense negotiations. If they were to reject it at the ballot box, Greece would probably run out of money within days, triggering a default that could call the country's membership in the 17-nation Eurozone into question.

At the very least, the markets seem destined for more volatility in the lead-up to a referendum. The already fading euphoria from last week's agreement in Brussels was immediately wiped out.

There were a few voices that spoke up in Papandreou's defense, crediting him with practicing democracy in the country that invented it, on an issue of supreme public importance. But many more, both inside and outside Greece, denounced his decision to hold the plebiscite.

Jean-Claude Juncker, the prime minister of Luxembourg and chairman of Eurozone meetings, warned that calling a referendum was "a dangerous decision" that could jeopardize Greece's next installment of bailout loans. A leading German lawmaker described Papandreou's decision as "irritating" and his behavior "peculiar."

In Paris, French President Nicolas Sarkozy said Papandreou's announcement "surprised all of Europe" and insisted that the new crisis-resolution plan represented "the only possible path to resolving the problem of the Greek debt."

But that complex strategy relies partly on beefing up Europe's bailout fund by attracting investment from such unlikely sources as the Chinese government. If Greece presses ahead with a nail-biting referendum, international investors may be deterred from putting money into the fund until the result is known, which could come too late for Europe to prevent a catastrophic escalation of the debt crisis.

With so much at stake, analysts were left to puzzle over the question posed by France's Le Monde in its front-page editorial Wednesday: "What fly bit Papandreou?"

Some commentators said the Greek leader, aware of brewing discontent in his own party's ranks against the new bailout plan and the piled-on austerity measures, decided to go on the offensive. Taking the plan directly to the people was a move to help silence his critics, both inside and outside his party, while buying time to shore up his position and to rally public support for the bailout.

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