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Gyrations on policy leave Greeks dizzy

Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou's defense of democratic choice at a summit in France turns into his bailout referendum's dumping once he's back home in Athens. He faces a no confidence vote.

November 04, 2011|By Anthee Carassava and Henry Chu, Los Angeles Times
  • Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou addresses Socialist members of Parliament in Athens on Thursday.
Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou addresses Socialist members of… (Petros Giannakouris, AP )

Reporting from Athens and London — Even Greeks themselves had trouble tracking everything that happened on a day of whipsaw political swings in their country.

Less than 24 hours earlier, they watched their prime minister stick up for their democratic right to a referendum before hostile European officials at a summit in France. But as soon as he returned home, George Papandreou called off his incendiary plan to let his people vote on Europe's latest rescue strategy for their debt-racked nation.

One moment, the Greek leader commanded the "full backing" of his Cabinet; the next, he didn't. He was stepping down, some said; he was staying on, others countered. And after hopes rose for a time that the nation's two big parties would set aside their differences to form a unity government, they soon crashed amid a mushroom cloud of name-calling.

As a result, Greeks went to bed Thursday night numbed by their country's nearly surreal instability that has also sent shock waves through the rest of the world, overshadowing a crucial gathering of global leaders on the French Riviera. The chaos has been especially acute in the Eurozone, the club of 17 nations that share the euro currency, now engulfed by a serious debt crisis.

Greece's uncertainty is set to continue Friday, as Papandreou faces a crucial vote of confidence whose outcome remains too close to call. If he loses, his government will collapse, forcing snap elections and heightening fears of a messy default on the country's mountain of debts.

Yet if he survives the vote, his hold on power is still far from assured. There were reports that, with his political capital exhausted, Papandreou would step down anyway to allow an interim government to guide Greece through the next few weeks, including ratification of a new bailout deal recently crafted in Brussels.

Already on shaky political ground, the American-born Papandreou, 59, deepened the turmoil earlier this week by calling for a referendum on that agreement, which entails enlarging Europe's rescue fund and forgiving some of Athens' debt.

Withdrawing the referendum may produce some immediate relief, but it's unlikely to dispel volatility in the financial markets or resolve the galloping debt crisis.

Stock markets rose on speculation that the plebiscite would be scrapped. But more important, the uncertainty in Greece and the near-paralysis of Italy's debt-burdened government pushed borrowing costs for Rome to painful levels Thursday, fueling fears that the euro debt crisis lies in danger of spinning out of control.

Details of the latest European bailout plan remain nebulous, unsettling investors, and the prospect that China and other emerging markets might pitch in to help bolster Europe's rescue fund – which the Eurozone is counting on – is receding.

Papandreou's call for a referendum came as a nasty surprise for other European leaders, who had thought their new plan a done deal. Summoned to a meeting Wednesday in Cannes, France, before many leading participants there for the G-20 summit, he was warned starkly that Greece could either choose to remain part of the Eurozone family or go it alone. He was also told that Athens' next batch of emergency loans to stay afloat, worth $11 billion, would be suspended until the referendum was over.

The pressure appeared to work. Papandreou had gone to Cannes with what his spokesman described as the "full backing" of his Cabinet, but that support quickly began to unravel upon his return to Athens on Thursday, with some of his most senior colleagues rebelling and openly opposing the referendum.

"Greece's position within the euro area is a historic conquest of the country that cannot be put in doubt," Papandreou's pugnacious finance minister, Evangelos Venizelos, said.

Backed into a corner, Papandreou went into an emergency Cabinet meeting with an offer to scrap the plebiscite, said Anna Diamantopoulou, the education minister.

He confirmed the embarrassing U-turn later in a speech to his fellow Socialist lawmakers, telling them that the referendum was no longer necessary because the opposition New Democracy party had agreed to support the bailout deal after initially balking.

"I applaud this different position adopted by the New Democracy party. Hopefully it can mark the start of a new political culture," Papandreou said, adding that his bombshell move had "offered a positive and creative shock" to the debate. It also caused markets to tank and European officials to react with horror.

At home, Papandreou has presided over increasing unemployment, higher taxes, public-sector layoffs and a steadily shrinking economy, which have brought unrest, violence and the acrid smell of tear gas to the streets of Greece's cities.

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