Oscar pundits love to debate the best forecaster of the Academy Awards. Is it the Golden Globes, the Screen Actors Guild ensemble trophy or some obscure film critics organization?
Here's a new theory: the Telluride Film Festival.
If "Argo" takes home the top trophy in Sunday night's Oscars, Telluride will have hosted the world or North American premieres of four of the last five best picture winners.
Last Labor Day, the festival hosted a sneak preview of Ben Affleck's thriller, and the previous year, Telluride showed "The Artist" for the first time in North America (the mostly silent film premiered at the Cannes Film Festival).
In 2010, Telluride showed "The King's Speech" for the first time, and in 2008, the festival in the Colorado mountain resort was the first to screen "Slumdog Millionaire." The one best picture winner from the last five years that didn't play at Telluride was "The Hurt Locker," which debuted at the Toronto International Film Festival.