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A long, expensive (and distinctive) race nears the finish line

Tuesday's election will put either the first woman or the first elected Jewish leader in the mayor's office. But a more dubious distinction is possible: the lowest turnout for an open mayoral seat.

May 19, 2013|By James Rainey and Seema Mehta, Los Angeles Times
  • Mayoral candidate Wendy Greuel goes in for a fist bump at the Port O' Call in San Pedro. Rival Eric Garcetti poses with volunteer Richard Granados at Straw Hat Pizza in Chatsworth.
Mayoral candidate Wendy Greuel goes in for a fist bump at the Port O'… (Genaro Molina, Brian van…)

A two-year campaign that has drawn record spending will see either the first woman or the first Jew elected as Los Angeles mayor. But despite those milestones, candidates Wendy Greuel and Eric Garcetti sped around the city Sunday trying to avoid another distinction: drawing the lowest turnout for an open mayoral seat in modern history.

The two candidates reached out to voters in churches, at a pizza parlor and in a bowling alley on a long day of campaigning — their last extended opportunity to connect directly to voters before Tuesday's election. Both focused particularly on African American voters, who polls show have tended to favor Greuel, the city controller, though many remained undecided.

In a race in which she has had the financial advantage because of massive expenditures by organized labor, Greuel has been fighting to make up the 4 percentage points she trailed Garcetti by when the two emerged from a March primary to become the finalists for mayor. Greuel still lagged 7 percentage points behind City Councilman Garcetti, 48% to 41%, according to a USC Price/Los Angeles Times poll released Saturday night.

FULL COVERAGE: L.A. mayor's race

Greuel's camp contended the race was closer and that enough undecided voters remain to hold out the opportunity for victory. Before setting off for 10 campaign stops from San Pedro to Studio City on Sunday, Greuel said she asked her 9-year-old son, Thomas, what she should emphasize in the campaign's final hours. Thomas told her to tell voters she is "a fighter."

"We are going to fight for a better city," Greuel told more than 1,000 parishioners at the warehouse-size City of Refuge Church near Gardena. "We are going to fight for a better life for our children. And to make sure no one goes hungry, no one is homeless and that we can live our dreams in the city of Los Angeles."

Garcetti wove Scripture into his remarks at several of his stops at seven African American churches. At First AME Church, he compared people who bemoan the city's flaws but fail to vote to those who attend church but fail to commune with God.

"You yell at the television but you don't pick yourself up and walk to the polls, it's like praying without understanding. It's like praying with no spirit," Garcetti said. "On Tuesday, we have to bring spirit to Los Angeles."

Less than 21% of the city's 1.8 million registered voters cast ballots in March. Turnout for runoff elections is typically higher, and analysts expect more voters than appeared for the low-
water 2009 primary election (17.9%), when Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa ran against
a field of unknowns. They expect nothing like the 1969 turnout of 76%, voting for and against Tom Bradley's campaign to become the city's first African American mayor. Bradley won the office four years later.

A Times review found that the city's next mayor will be hard-pressed to exceed even the 233,427 votes that Fletcher Bowron won in 1938, when he ousted Frank Shaw in a recall spawned by rampant corruption.

The USC Price/Times poll released Friday showed Garcetti, whose paternal grandparents came from Mexico, with a 13-percentage-point lead among Latinos. The councilman from Silver Lake also led among white voters by 9 percentage points. (A poll a week earlier by the Edmund G. "Pat" Brown Institute of Public Affairs at Cal State L.A. had the race a virtual dead heat, with Greuel leading by 1 percentage point.)

On Sunday, the two candidates took their battle for African American voters to a host of churches in South Los Angeles. Though blacks' share of the total city electorate has diminished, they could be an important swing bloc if the voting is close.

Greuel, 51, appeared at four black churches with supporters including Rep. Maxine Waters (D-Los Angeles), county Supervisor Mark Ridley-Thomas and civil rights activist and city Police Commissioner John Mack. A day earlier, the candidate had worked similar turf with basketball legend Magic Johnson while touting her backing from Bill Clinton, the former president who remains hugely popular among black voters.

Garcetti traveled to the churches in a black party bus — similar to those that often ferry bachelor parties along the Sunset Strip — accompanied by his own contingent of African American leaders, including Rep. Karen Bass (D-Los Angeles), City Council members Bernard Parks and Jan Perry and two former elected officials, county Supervisor Yvonne Brathwaite Burke and Councilman Nate Holden.

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