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Rock Hall nominees: Handicapping inductees from Nirvana to Chic

October 16, 2013|By Randall Roberts, Los Angeles Times Pop Music Critic
  • Daryl Hall, left, and John Oates at UCLA in May 1977.
Daryl Hall, left, and John Oates at UCLA in May 1977. (Los Angeles Times )

What is rock 'n' roll, one may ask upon seeing the names Hall & Oates, Linda Ronstadt, Cat Stevens and Peter Gabriel on this year’s list of finalists for induction into the Rock and Roll Hall of Fame. Do any of them truly rock, let alone roll? Or is their music more likely to be filed in the “popular” section of your imaginary record shop?

That’s one reflexive thought that popped up after seeing the list of nominees for the 2014 induction ceremony. Sixteen acts that make/made music in subgenres including grunge, rap, funk, art pop, neo-soul, guitar rock, progressive rock, soft rock and blues rock, the list offers way more questions than it does answers.

For example: Why is Ronstadt the only woman on the list? Where are, for example, the Go-Gos or the Runaways? What about Janet Jackson? Or is she less "rock 'n' roll" than Stevens?

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More questions: Does rock 'n' roll thrive on bloated tales from topographic oceans, as prog rock band Yes would indulgently suggest? Does it live within the comic book glam rock band KISS’s songs about pulling triggers on love guns or doctors named Love who have the cure you’re thinking of? (Shouldn’t writing and recording the song “Lick It Up” automatically disqualify a band from inclusion?)

As with last year, fans have a vote. Specifically, as Randy Lewis explained in his news of the announcement, fans can vote from Oct. 16 and through 2 p.m. Pacific time Dec. 10 at the websites of the Rock Hall, Rolling Stone and USA Today. The top five vote-getters will constitute the “fans’ ballot” that will be counted among the other 600 votes from members of the Rock Hall to be cast.

Below is an overview of the roster of nominees, along with their highly unscientific odds of making it into the hallowed halls when a final inductee list is announced, likely in December.

Sure things

Nirvana: This is Nirvana’s first year of eligibility, and they’ll easily enter despite the fact that lead singer Kurt Cobain would likely hate the honorarium. The group shifted the direction of rock in the late '80s and early '90s, even if during their formation a whole movement of underground rock acts were making music as vital and transformative as Nirvana. The most notable, of course, are the Pixies, who are not, and have never been, nominated.

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Linda Ronstadt: Ronstadt’s a virtual shoe-in, even if her work hardly rocks. It’s already bad enough that she’s the only non-man in the bunch, so for political reasons, she’ll get in, even if Joan Jett inspired way more young musicians to pick up instruments and rock out than Ronstadt did. 4:1 odds

Yes: The induction of power trio Rush last year was a game changer. All of the sudden progressive rock, long the realm of finicky geeks, had a way in. Yes, after all, were one of the biggest rock bands of the 1970s, and in this, their first nomination, the group seems likely to bring their complicated time signatures and cinematic structures into the hall. 5:1

LL Cool J: A rapper who helped bring hip-hop into the mainstream (and, eventually, into candlelit bedrooms), LL Cool J has been nominated a few times before, which makes his chances tough to handicap. But if you consider that the Hall of Fame would look pretty bad if it didn’t induct a single rap artist this year, and it normally errs on the side of New York-based music (see N.W.A below), LL seems likely to finally pass the threshold. 7:1

The Zombies: The Zombies are a surprise on this year’s ballot, even if they shouldn’t be. Why now? Maybe as a way to appeal to a youth culture in the middle of a zombie (as in, undead human) zeitgeist? Cynically, perhaps. But the British Invasion band’s hits are stone-cold classics: “She’s Not There,” “Time of the Season” and “Tell Her No” being the best known. 8:1

On the fence

Peter Gabriel: Genesis is already in the Rock Hall, but that was as much a result of their success after lead singer Peter Gabriel left the band. His work in the late 1970s, three amazing self-titled solo albums, is beautiful, and after he broke into the mainstream with “Sledgehammer,” he achieved near-superstar status. Add in his early, innovative music video work and Gabriel seems likely to make the cut. 10:1

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