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Economic Forecasts

BUSINESS
December 9, 2008 | Times Wire Services
A leading advertising forecaster lowered expectations for ad growth in 2008 for the second time in two months but said a mild recovery should begin late next year. ZenithOptimedia now expects global growth of 1.3% this year over 2007. In October, the British ad company had forecast growth of 4.3%, which itself was a reduction from the June forecast of 6.6%. For 2009, ZenithOptimedia now expects a 0.2% reduction in ad spending, not the 4% growth projected in October.
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BUSINESS
October 25, 2008 | Times Wire Reports
The U.S. economy will have two or three quarters of "negative growth" once global financial systems stabilize, General Electric Co. Chief Executive Jeffrey Immelt said. "You might have a two- or three-quarter negative growth and then a slow pullout," Immelt said at New York University's Stern School of Business. GE, the biggest U.S. issuer of commercial paper, said it planned to use a new short-term funding facility from the Federal Reserve when the program starts next week, throwing its weight behind Fed efforts to unfreeze the credit markets.
BUSINESS
September 24, 2008 | Marc Lifsher and Peter Y. Hong, Times Staff Writers
Housing prices will hit bottom some time next year, but the California economy will be in distress for months to come, according to a closely followed UCLA economic report scheduled to be released today. In a series of dire predictions echoed by experts throughout the state, the UCLA Anderson Forecast says that unemployment will continue to increase, consumer spending will decline and tax revenues will plummet.
BUSINESS
August 13, 2008 | Joe Bel Bruno, The Associated Press
Stocks skidded Tuesday despite another drop in oil prices as downbeat news from financial companies aggravated the market's anxiety about the effect of the credit crisis on the economy. The Dow Jones industrials fell nearly 140 points. The latest reminder of continuing troubles for banks and brokerages came late Monday when JPMorgan Chase said that less than halfway through the third quarter it had lost $1.5 billion on home loans and mortgage-backed securities in the period, compared with $1.1 billion for all of the second quarter.
BUSINESS
June 19, 2008 | From the Associated Press
Nearly one-third of the country's top executives expect to cut payrolls in the coming months, reflecting fallout from the housing bust as well as soaring energy prices. At the same time, a survey by the Business Roundtable, released Wednesday, showed that most executives expect sales and capital investment to remain at current levels or even improve over the next six months.
BUSINESS
June 18, 2008 | Roger Vincent, Times Staff Writer
Under pressure from falling home values, high oil prices and rising unemployment, the economy in California and the nation will perform anemically in the coming months -- but there still won't be an actual recession, UCLA forecasters say. "I am holding on to what is now a shaky view: no recession this year," said economist Edward Leamer, director of the quarterly UCLA Anderson Forecast, which is being released today.
BUSINESS
March 18, 2008 | From Times Wire Services
Famously bullish Goldman Sachs Group Inc. stock strategist Abby Joseph Cohen has stopped publicly forecasting the level of the Standard & Poor's 500 index. Cohen, 56, gained celebrity for her optimistic predictions during the 1990s and for referring to the U.S. economy as "Supertanker America," suggesting it could steam through global crises. She was named the top strategist in Institutional Investor magazine's surveys in 1998 and 1999. But she failed to predict the 2000-02 bear market.
BUSINESS
January 30, 2008 | From Reuters
The International Monetary Fund cut its 2008 forecast for world growth Tuesday, saying the global economy will deliver the weakest performance in five years as U.S.-originated financial strains intensify. The IMF said no country would escape fallout from the crisis in the U.S. sub-prime mortgage market, where loans made to less creditworthy borrowers were packaged into securities by Wall Street firms and sold around the world.
BUSINESS
January 17, 2008 | Tom Petruno, Times Staff Writer
Is a recession a serious risk -- or is it mostly in Wall Street's mind? Financial markets have descended into a major funk in the last two weeks, driving key stock indexes to their lowest levels in more than a year. But some analysts say the action in stocks and bonds is overstating the chances of grave trouble in the economy. And they contend that the Federal Reserve, Congress and the Bush administration are being goaded by markets to take economic-stimulus measures that may be costly, excessive and even unnecessary.
BUSINESS
January 9, 2008 | From Bloomberg News
Global economic growth will slow for a second straight year in 2008 as tighter credit conditions and higher oil prices weaken expansions in the U.S., Japan and Europe, the World Bank said in an annual forecast. The world economy will grow 3.3% this year, down from an estimated 3.6% pace in 2007 and 3.9% in 2006, the bank said. The U.S. economy, the world's largest, will expand 1.9%, compared with 2.2% last year, it said. Japan's gross domestic product is forecast to increase 1.
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